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futures

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2019 Tech Trends Report — The Future Today Institute Nov 29, 2019 futures & highlights & change & tech

This report is intentionally broad and robust. We have included a list of adjacent uncertainties, a detailed analysis of 315 tech trends, a collection of weak signals for 2020, and more than four dozen scenarios describing plausible near futures.

Impressive work. I particularly like the CIPHER heuristic they use in analysis signals: contradictions, infections, practices, hacks, extremes, rarities.

Resources → education & resources & systems & design & futures & change Updated Nov 14, 2019 Below I’m collecting a set of resources dealing with a variety of topics for shareable reference—a sort of living,
Collectively, then, these are what Wei cheekily calls “status-as-a-service” businesses Mar 6, 2019 highlights & futures Collectively, then, these are what Wei cheekily calls “status-as-a-service” businesses. They don’t give away status: to the contrary, they require the user to perform some creative task that others find difficult. But if they present the right task — what Wei, borrowing from the language of cryptocurrencies, calls the “proof of work” — they can unlock an impressive store of value. — https://www.theverge.com/interface/2019/3/5/18250867/eugene-wei-status-service-facebook-future
Creating Economic Opportunity for Workers in the Digital Era → Jan 29, 2016 futures & innovation
Research that is simply beyond belief → Nov 1, 2015 futures
Millions of worlds. Billions of cultures. Quadrillions of people. Decillions of interrelationships. And you want me to reduce it to order. → Oct 30, 2015 systems & futures “Millions of worlds. Billions of cultures. Quadrillions of people. Decillions of interrelationships. And you want me to reduce it to
Syringe-injectable electronics → Oct 18, 2015 futures
Designers … seek to choose rather than predict the future Sep 25, 2015 systems & design & futures & highlights Designers … seek to choose rather than predict the future. — Jamshid Gharajedaghi, Systems Thinking.
ReSchool 2015 Keynote: Dr David Helfand on Transforming the Future of Education → Sep 24, 2015 education & futures
What new power looks like → Aug 30, 2015 futures
The automation myth: Robots aren’t taking your jobs— and that’s the problem → Aug 21, 2015 futures
Educating Data | MIT Technology Review → Aug 12, 2015 education & learning & futures & tech
How Uber Hides Behind Its Algorithm → Aug 12, 2015 tech & futures
Distribution … now → Aug 3, 2015 futures
Paul Saffo’s approach to forecasting. Jul 26, 2015 futures & highlights [M]y mantra for this process is "strong opinions, weakly held." Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect — this is the "strong opinion" part. Then –and this is the "weakly held" part– prove yourself wrong. Engage in creative doubt. Look for information that doesn't fit, or indicators that pointing in an entirely different direction. Eventually your intuition will kick in and a new hypothesis will emerge out of the rubble, ready to be ruthlessly torn apart once again. —

Paul Saffo’s approach to forecasting.

Also, reading about Paul Saffo brought me to the Long Now Foundation — so neat!

The End of Leadership → Jul 23, 2015 leadership & systems & futures
The Next Wave | Edge. → Jul 20, 2015 futures & tech
What worries me about the future of Silicon Valley, is that one-dimensionality, that it’s not a Renaissance culture, it’s an engineering culture Jul 19, 2015 tech & futures & highlights What worries me about the future of Silicon Valley, is that one-dimensionality, that it’s not a Renaissance culture, it’s an engineering culture. It’s an engineering culture that believes that it’s revolutionary, but it’s actually not that revolutionary. The Valley has, for a long time, mined a couple of big ideas. — John Markoff, The Next Wave.
The question is, how does this current bubble end? Not when, but how? What constitutes a bubble? For me, I can clearly see we’re in a bubble economy when relatively more money is chasing relatively few good ideas Jul 19, 2015 tech & futures & highlights The question is, how does this current bubble end? Not when, but how? What constitutes a bubble? For me, I can clearly see we’re in a bubble economy when relatively more money is chasing relatively few good ideas. When the conversation turns to Uber for “x,” you can tell there we’re out of ideas, that people are basically just trying to iterate and get lucky. — John Markoff, The Next Wave.
We’re at that stage, where our expectations have outrun the reality of the technology Jul 19, 2015 tech & futures & highlights We’re at that stage, where our expectations have outrun the reality of the technology. — John Markoff, The Next Wave
Utopian Capitalism → Jul 17, 2015 futures
The end of interest rates → Jul 14, 2015 futures
Can civilisation reboot without fossil fuels? → Jul 11, 2015 futures
On Ice Buckets! → Aug 29, 2014 leadership & social & futures & articles
Notes from a TEDtalk - Ian Goldin: Navigating our global future → Jun 21, 2012 leadership & futures & innovation & systems & articles